Assessing the impact of shocks on global food security

Aleksandr Mel&#039;nikov; Boris Mel&#039;nikov

UDC 338.28

ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF SHOCKS ON GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY Assessing the impact of shocks on global food security

АА Аа

Published in Economic policy and national security · Issue 1 · Pages 53–62 · Rubric: ECONOMIC SECURITY

Received: 05.03.2025 Accepted: 14.07.2025 Published: 15.07.2025 Language of publication: RUS

Authors

Aleksandr Mel'nikov

ORCID Scopus ResearcherID SPIN

Boris Mel'nikov

Aleksandr Mel'nikov

Academic degree: doctor of economic sciences

Science rang: professor

Kuban State Agrarian University Professor, Head of Department · Department of Economics and Foreign Economic Activity · Krasnodar

ORCID Scopus ResearcherID SPIN

Boris Mel'nikov

Academic degree: doctor of economic sciences

I. T. Trubilin Kuban State Agricultural University Associate Professor · Department of Production Management and Innovation · Russian Federation

ABSTRACT

Introduction. Addressing food security requires consideration of a variety of factors whose influence increases volatility in food markets. The key factors vary according to a country’s macroeconomic performance, its dependence on agricultural imports, climatic conditions and supply chains in food markets. Methods. The graph-analytical method and regression analysis formed the methodological basis of this study. This allowed us to build a model of changes in the equilibrium price in the markets of agricultural products as a result of negative external shocks. Results. The results of the regression analysis confirm that food security needs to be studied in terms of analysing global interrelationships, as well as assessing the risks of product suppliers and consumer countries, which are highly dependent on food imports and are at particular risk in the event of disruptions in agricultural supplies.

KEYWORDS

ffood security, global markets, external shocks, sustainable development

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Mel'nikov A. B., Mel'nikov B. A. Assessing the impact of shocks on global food security // Economic policy and national security. 2025. no. 1. pp. 53-62. URL: https://vestnikkf.ru/en/nauka/publications/article/6a9c15e032807fdbab86ea80/assessing-the-impact-of-shocks-on-global-food-security/view. (Date of access 21.09.2026).

MLA

Aleksandr Mel'nikov, Mel'nikov B. A.. "Assessing the impact of shocks on global food security." Economic policy and national security.1 (2025): 53-62. URL: https://vestnikkf.ru/en/nauka/publications/article/6a9c15e032807fdbab86ea80/assessing-the-impact-of-shocks-on-global-food-security/view.

APA

Mel'nikov A. B., Mel'nikov B. A. (2025). Assessing the impact of shocks on global food security. Economic policy and national security(1), 53-62. URL: https://vestnikkf.ru/en/nauka/publications/article/6a9c15e032807fdbab86ea80/assessing-the-impact-of-shocks-on-global-food-security/view

Chicago

Aleksandr Mel'nikov, Mel'nikov B. A.. "Assessing the impact of shocks on global food security." Economic policy and national security, no. 1 (2025): 53-62. URL: https://vestnikkf.ru/en/nauka/publications/article/6a9c15e032807fdbab86ea80/assessing-the-impact-of-shocks-on-global-food-security/view.

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{{cite journal | author = Mel'nikov A. B., Mel'nikov B. A. | title = Assessing the impact of shocks on global food security | journal = Economic policy and national security | year = 2025 | issue = 1 | pages = 53-62 | url = https://vestnikkf.ru/en/nauka/publications/article/6a9c15e032807fdbab86ea80/assessing-the-impact-of-shocks-on-global-food-security/view }}

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ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF SHOCKS ON GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY Assessing the impact of shocks on global food security

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